Great, so, what does that give us as a definition?

There are two sources of information Bayes' rule tells you.

Now a key part to the Bayesian is this part of the formula.

And so, we're going to start by defining the basic semantics of a Bayesian network, and how it's constructed from a set of factors.

And what it means is we really are Bayesian inference machines.

According to Government estimates, Colombia produced approximately 225,000 tonnes of coca leaf from four harvests in 1995, which in national estimates would amount to a potential production of 356 tonnes of cocaine.Colombia, annual reports questionnaire for 1995, part III see also Centro de Investigación y Estudios Internacionales sobre Droga, Balance de Actividades Antinarcóticos (Bogotá, 1996).

(Signed) Z. Eshmambetova Permanent Representative of Kyrgyzstan to the United Nations

(Signed) Z. Eshmambetova Permanent Representative of the Kyrgyz Republic to the United Nations (Signed) S. Lavrov

The illicit production of coca leaf has been estimated by different official sources to range from 309,000 to 493,000 tonnes, which compares with an estimated 306,000 tonnes in 1990.

So now we're getting into Bayesian land.

And to do that, I'm going to tell you about a framework which is very popular in statistics and machine learning of the last 50 years called Bayesian decision theory.

And the key idea to Bayesian inference is you have two sources of information from which to make your inference.

Permanent Representative of the Kyrgyz Republic to the United Nations A 53 183 Annex

And what Bayes' rule says is, given my beliefs, the action should in some sense be optimal.

This compares with an estimated production capacity of 80 tonnes of cocaine (or 40,800 tonnes of coca leaf) reported by United States sources.United States of America, Department of State, International Narcotics Control Strategy Report (March 1996), p. 25.

Kupiecka?

It is roughly estimated that there may be around 107,500 child workers in Sri Lanka.

Global trade in tropical beverages tea, coffee, cocoa, and chocolates is estimated at roughly US 29 billion in 1995 (see table).

Bates!

Bull fiddle.

Regarding coca leaf production, latest available reports indicate that Colombia may have overtaken both Peru, with an estimated capacity of 183,600 tonnes, and Bolivia (estimated capacity of 85,000 tonnes).

Director, Diyarbakir Section

Maternal mortality in Pakistan remains high. It is estimated to be 340 per 100,000 live births and some estimates put it higher.

Bull fiddle.

Message from the President of the Russian Federation, B. N. Yeltsin,

Her name was Kupiecka. Maria Kupiecka.

And the point about Bayesian decision theory is it gives you the mathematics of the optimal way to combine your prior knowledge with your sensory evidence to generate new beliefs.

As we go around, we learn about statistics of the world and lay that down, but we also learn about how noisy our own sensory apparatus is, and then combine those in a real Bayesian way.

Beiderbeke came before James and Elman and Spivak.

Bess Yes.

Booty Bass

Drum Bass

Ardath Bey.

Ardath Bey!

Rosie, baby.

These pressures have been added to those caused by the Chernobyl accident which occurred in the spring of 1986, when an estimated 70 per cent of the radioactive fallout contaminated 23 per cent of its land area.

Estimated global cocaine manufacture and seizures are shown in figure 6 for the period from 1980 to 1994. (For potential cocaine manufacture, coca leaf production estimates were converted to cocaine equivalent to facilitate comparison with seizures.)

The name is Schaefer. Betty Schaefer.

Lentulus Batiatus.

Kupiecka, Maria. Murdered. Unsolved.

Hello, ducks. Angel!

Citizen Bezos?

Sumbe

Tumbes

Rumbek